Polls show close race in Pennsylvania congressional election

The Memo Moment of truth for Trump in Pennsylvania

GOP and conservative groups aiding Republican state Rep. Rick Saccone have spent more than $10 million ahead of tomorrow's election in the 18th District, a conservative bastion President Donald Trump carried by about 20 percentage points in the 2016 election.

Lamb's bump in the polls comes as Republicans have become increasingly anxious about a Democratic upset in a western Pennsylvania district that President TrumpDonald John TrumpAccuser says Trump should be afraid of the truth Woman behind pro-Trump Facebook page denies being influenced by Russians Shulkin says he has White House approval to root out "subversion" at VA MORE won by almost 20 points in 2016.

Bill Barrow and Marc Levy, The Associated Press •. Finally, and perhaps most importantly, President Trump held a raucous rally in the district on Saturday, during which he went all in for Saccone.

But Lamb's surprisingly strong performance - polls show him tied or within the margin of error against Saccone - has boiled down to Trump's polarizing presidency, according to Democratic Congressman Michael Doyle.

"I think they know they're in trouble, and this is going to look really bad for the president and the party", she said. Doug Jones' (D-AL) shocking win late a year ago, and said he'd rarely seen Democratic enthusiasm that strong for a down-ticket race - until Lamb came along. They are pretty representative of the electorate of Pennsylvania's bizarrely shaped 18th congressional district, which consists of a slice of Pittsburgh's suburbs and a slew of small rural manufacturing towns. They just can't be lazy.

Lamb has vowed not to vote to back Pelosi if he is elected to Congress and has taken several other moderate positions.

If he loses, it could foreshadow what is already expected to be a hard midterm election cycle for Republicans. In 24 consecutive special House elections, the party defending the vacant district has been victorious, according to data compiled by Bloomberg Government.

He's also supported Trump's steel tariffs, muting what the President hoped would be a major selling point for Saccone.

If Saccone wins, his re-election in the fall will not necessarily be any easier, since a recent Pennsylvania Supreme Court decision means the district in which he runs in November will be less Republican than the district as it is now drawn.

But that, by itself, hasn't given Saccone much traction against Lamb, a Marine veteran and former federal prosecutor.

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Lamb has crystallized the debate over whether a younger, charismatic Democrat appealing to win back traditionally Democratic voters can overcome Republican party loyalty in a GOP-leaning district at a time when Trump remains a divisive figure.

The poll was conducted on landlines and cell phones from March 8 to 11 with 503 registered voters in Pennsylvania's 18th District. Murphy announced his resignation in October 2017, following reports that he encouraged a woman with whom he had an extramarital affair to have an abortion.

A key difference between Murphy and Saccone: Murphy tended to have labor union support.

While some Democrats have called for Trump's impeachment, House Democratic leaders say they do not intend to pursue impeachment and would rather defeat Trump at the ballot box. "Lamb will always vote for Pelosi and Dems.Will raise taxes, weak on Crime and Border".

President Trump visited near Pittsburgh on Saturday night to tout his recently imposed steel tariffs, his administration's job-creation record, his brinkmanship with North Korea, and his 2016 election victory.

Lamb, however, keeps to party orthodoxy on unions.

National Republican Congressional Committee Chairman Steve Stivers (R-OH) refused to weigh in on whose fault it is that the race is so close. Registered Democrats still outnumber Republicans by nearly a four-to-three ratio in a district where gun rights are a high priority, and Democrats still hold some local offices. Touring the candy-maker, he greeted workers and urged them to vote.

"You have been the heart and soul", Lamb told the crowd as he asked attendees to knock doors for him once again.

Lamb had no public events scheduled Monday, instead spending the day knocking on doors with his campaign volunteers. It includes parts of Allegheny, Greene, Washington, and Westmoreland counties. "This mailer was sent to voters who might find his views on the Second Amendment of note", said CLF spokeswoman Courtney Alexander in a statement.

Saccone on Monday insisted he did not support cuts to Medicare or Social Security, and accused the left of trying to scare seniors. The NRA has endorsed Saccone, who has an A+ rating from the group, and has donated $2,450 to his campaign.

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